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5 patents · 23 defendants · $100B+ prediction-market industry
23 named defendants across the $100B+ prediction-market industry all infringe the same 5 patents. The campaign consolidates them into a single, stress-tested theory — with the evidence dossier already assembled and defense motions pre-answered before any complaint is filed.
The full evidence dossier for this campaign is already built. Patented.ai has delivered 60 USPTO reviews, 40 cross-validated findings, 27 claim charts (23 defendants + 4 § 271(b)/(c) suppliers), and drafted the complaint, eligibility-defense brief, and claim-construction brief. A firm starting from scratch today is 18–36 months behind on the dossier alone.
The Patented.ai Edge · Why This Campaign Starts at Day 0, Not Month 18
The inventors aren't patent trolls — they're active operators in the prediction-market industry itself. That neutralizes the defense tactic of arguing a passive patent-holder shouldn't get high damages or injunctions.
Founder of Accretion Capital. Operator-investor in PrizePicks (sold to Allwyn Sep 2025; $1.6B upfront / up to $4.15B with performance earnout; now first DFS operator with CFTC FCM; PrizePicks Predicts launched Nov 2025 with Kalshi + Polymarket), WagerWire, StakeKings, and Hedge Kings.
Partner at Accretion Capital alongside Burillo — co-backer of PrizePicks. Investor in Playmaker Betting. Former senior executive at partypoker. $5M+ professional poker earnings.
Single-step assignments from inventors to owners — no third-party licenses, no security interests, no outstanding liens. Hedgekings LLC owns '965/'966; Wymond Labs LLC owns '706/'161. Both LLC principals aligned — engagement letters execute within the 6-week decision window.
Prosecution discipline: Burillo's counsel filed 5 wager-focused patent apps — all 5 cleared the eligibility bar. The 3 non-wager apps filed in parallel were rejected. Evidence of deliberate, skilled drafting.
Each step below is a concrete requirement from the patent claim — not a generic idea. WagerWire's live product uses Burillo's verbatim 2020 USPTO language ("Original Odds" / "Current Odds") — the anchor that locks the claim-construction ruling for the whole cohort.
Filed in 4 sequenced waves. Wave 1a — the 4 defendants with the cleanest infringement, filed together in Delaware so one claim-construction ruling binds all four. Wave 1b — defendants whose own patents trap them: attacking ours would destroy their own portfolios. Waves 2–3 — timed to close the window on patent-office challenges.
Rigorous targeting is the campaign's defense against Rule 11 overreach and the defendant playbook move of arguing plaintiffs swept too broadly — every exclusion backed by a per-entity memo citing primary public records.
+ NYRABets · 1/ST BET
+ Betr Picks
+ Collectable
Stats Perform (+Opta) · Second Spectrum · Synergy
Every line is a real commercial tie — equity, JV, market-making, or supplier contract — not a litigation theory. Settle one hub and its spokes are compelled to follow. Two § 271(b) force multipliers anchor the map: Genius Sports (BetVision/GeniusIQ live in 7 sportsbooks — including 3 named defendants DK / FanDuel / Fanatics; already in active patent-litigation posture via Sportscastr v. Genius Sports EDTX Oct 2023) and Sportradar (MLB's exclusive prediction-market data distributor $150–300M / 3-yr + Foresight pre-cognizant CNN + Alpha Odds AI-repricing; § 271(b) inducement on '965 and '161). Either hub's settlement cascades across its downstream operators.
Burillo filed in 2019; the first patents granted in April 2021. Between October 2025 and April 2026, the prediction-market industry went from early-stage infrastructure to over $100B in annualized volume. All of that growth sits inside the 18-year damages window — and every metric below is anchored to SEC or CFTC filings.
Comparable gaming-sector patent verdicts support a 5–9% royalty rate — we use the 7% midpoint, applied only to the slice of revenue attributable to the patented features (apportionment standard from VirnetX v. Apple). Willful infringement means a defendant knew about the patent and kept using it anyway — under Halo v. Pulse (2016), courts can triple damages (3×).
Of every gross recovery dollar: counsel takes 30% · Patented.ai takes 10% · plaintiffs (Hedgekings + Wymond) keep 60%. All paid only on recovery. The $300M shown below is an illustrative midpoint from the risk-adjusted range in § 6 Damages Model ($271M – $872M). Willfulness findings multiply baseline damages up to 3× (see § 6), which would lift this same example's ceiling to $900M.
Patent juries in the past three years have awarded verdicts across the exact range Burillo is targeting — VirnetX ($502.8M), Masimo ($634M), and Netlist ($866M) each involved 1–4 defendants. Burillo's $888M floor lands inside that pack, and the $2.26B ceiling reflects proportional uplift across 23 defendants rather than an outlier stretch. The Collision v. Samsung willful verdict ($445.5M) is flagged because its trial firm — Caldwell CC&C — is a shortlisted Burillo co-counsel bringing the same 3× playbook to this case.
Patent defendants settle when their exposure stops being uncertain. The claim-construction ruling is that inflection — once the court locks in our reading of the crucial "odds" patent term, most defendants choose to settle within 18–30 months rather than litigate a losing trial. Later waves cascade naturally as that ruling flows to their downstream customers and supplier chains.
Residual eligibility risk: 4–6%. Burillo's 5 patents survived USPTO patent-eligibility review during prosecution, so the legal Berkheimer presumption of eligibility attaches to all 5. Zero PTAB (IPR) challenges have ever been filed against any of them, and the 1-year post-service IPR window will close early in litigation. Five reinforcing locks below — each independently sufficient — keep all 5 Burillo patents out of § 101 reach.
A patent case turns on how the court defines the key patent words — the Markman / claim-construction hearing. The win rate above isn't a forecast; it's the arithmetic of what's already locked. 10 dispositive claim terms are Markman-hardened today across Burillo's 4 asserted patents: all 10 narrowed by prosecution disclaimer (Aylus Networks v. Apple, 856 F.3d 1353 (Fed. Cir. 2017); Southwall Techs. v. Cardinal IG, 54 F.3d 1570 (Fed. Cir. 1995) — applicant's clear-and-unmistakable USPTO statements narrow the literal claim scope at Markman; the resulting construction binds both parties under Markman v. Westview, 517 U.S. 370 (1996), and Festo PHE additionally bars any subsequent doctrine-of-equivalents recapture by the patentee) — 8 by applicant amendment ('965, '966, '161) · 2 by examiner amendment ('706 NOA 2022-05-27 · chat-UI limitation moved into independent claims at allowance).
Each ring is independently sufficient on its own. Prior-art clearance alone wins validity. Independent-claim prosecution disclaimer alone locks Markman construction. Unamended dependent claims alone provide narrower fallback. Specification-paragraph anchors alone defeat definiteness. Party admissions alone prove infringement. Every ring below is backed by evidence already filed in USPTO, CFTC, or SEC public records — either by Burillo's attorney during prosecution or by the defendants themselves under SOX / CCO certification. Defendants have to penetrate all five rings — and every ring is already in place.
No surprises left in the threat model. Every one of the 8 biggest residual risks sits in a manageable or safe quadrant — none in the critical zone. The 2 adverse court rulings defendants could cite against us are both distinguishable on the facts. And all 5 defense motions they'll predictably file have rebuttal briefs drafted today. Every attack vector is mapped; nothing is improvised at trial.
The infringement case is largely pre-written — by the defendants themselves. They have already described the patented architecture under SEC oath, in CFTC filings signed by their own Chief Regulatory Officers, in CEO shareholder letters, in App Store listings, and in their own Help Centers. Each quote below is a party admission under Federal Rule of Evidence 801(d)(2) — the court must accept it as evidence and defendants cannot walk it back at trial. The samples here are a preview of a much deeper catalog.
★★ Judicial-Estoppel Masterstroke
FanDuel Ltd
(1) App 19/410,345 verbatim: "favorite teams, favorite players, favorite betting practices… user 210 may be specifically targeted" + "convolutional neural network-based model." (2) App 19/410,174 + 18/893,179: "recommending at least one alternative market" + "surfaced to a user via a graphical user interface." (3) US 12,307,861 B1 GRANTED (May 20, 2025): "bet embedding… similarity score" — LITERAL '965 E3/E4. Granted = final USPTO position.
★★ Markman Anchor · FRE 902(1)
Wire Industries Inc.
Wire Industries App 17/938,040 + 17/938,038 Claim 1: "computerized ticket exchange system … fractional bet sale of less than 100% portion … first win amount" + Claim 2: "maintaining a first ledger at a database for tracking fractional ownership." Both abandoned after USPTO § 101 Final Rejection (2025) using verbatim Rosen language — the exact framework Burillo's 5 granted patents already cleared. Inventors Doctor (CEO) + Dotan (COO) + Geiger (CXO) = current co-founders.
7 Own-Patents + 2 SEC Filings
DraftKings · DKNG
(1) DKNG 10-K FY25: "We build recommendations…most likely to enter." (2) CEO Robins Q4 2025 letter: "set prices — or odds — at which they buy and sell event contracts." (3) US 11,574,522 B1: "personalized session interface…ranking…viewer player profile" = '965 E1+E2+E3. (4) US 11,622,156 B1: "meter…time remaining for the event" = '706 H4 verbatim. (5) ★ US 11,457,285 B1 "Notifications of Critical Events": "change in odds…notification generation threshold…display a notification…actionable object that, when interacted with, causes…navigate to a broadcast of the live event" — '161 N2+N4+N5+N7 literal architecture. (6) US 11,451,878 B1: profile-history-based personalized content selection = '965 E1-E3. (7) US 11,445,264 B1: wager-by-wager ledger with user-profile identifiers = '965 E5 support. (8) US 11,606,598 B2: "modifying the first display region…responsive to…wager" = '706 H4 HUD overlay. (9) ★ SBTech US 11,514,758 B2 (DK subsidiary since Apr 2020): "countdown timer…dynamically calculates the probability of a sport or game incident happening within said time period…GUI widget…animation of said defined incident" = '706 H4 countdown meter + '161 N2/N3/N6/N7 pulse-betting architecture.
★ CFTC-sworn + Peer-Reviewed
KalshiEX LLC · $22B val
(1) CFTC Rule 13.1(a) (Jan 12, 2026 · CRO Heaslip signature): "The minimum unit of trading is one hundredth of one Contract" — LITERAL '965 E4 fractional-locked-price construction. (2) Help Center: "every trade… between a 'maker' and a 'taker'" + API is_taker boolean — LITERAL E3 counterparty. (3) Whelan/Bürgi/Deng (UCD, Jan 2026) peer-reviewed paper with 300K-contract dataset confirms the architecture. (4) Kalshi Rulebook v1.24 (current version, updated Feb 23, 2026 · Chief Compliance Officer certified · FRE 902(1) self-authenticating) layers four additional verbatim admissions: Rule 6.7(f) requires position transfers only through the platform = '706 intra-platform resale channel · "central limit order book" (15 occurrences) = '965 aftermarket architecture · "Market Maker" (35 occurrences + dedicated Chapter 4) = '965 brokered architecture · Rule 3.1 grants each Member the right to "buy Contracts… sell Contracts… on the Platform" = '965/'966 core exchange mechanic.
★★ CEO-on-record · Markman Gift
Fanatics · FBG + Morton St.
(1) Matt King, CEO Fanatics Betting & Gaming (Sportico Dec 3, 2025): "I look at these as trades, right?… I view this as trading." (2) CDNA Rulebook (Jan 28, 2026): "Opening Trade Value…at which the Contract is opened" + "Closing Trade Value…at which the Contract is closed" — structurally maps Burillo's 2020 odds-at-acquisition vs odds-at-exit distinction. (3) Fanatics Terms of Use: "our affiliate, Morton St. Market Maker, LLC… may provide quotes and trade in listed products on CDNA. When you trade on CDNA, your orders may be matched against Affiliate's orders" — LITERAL '965 E3 specific-counterparty. (4) Peter Jackson, FanDuel parent Flutter CEO (Sportico Feb 2026): "pricing complex correlated outcomes accurately is something we do every day… actively evaluating" — industry cross-confirmation of the affiliated-MM pattern.
★ Defendant's Own Code · Forensic
DK Predictions webapp
(1) The predictions.draftkings.com webapp ships compiled JS hard-coding simpleBetUrl: "https://matchviz.simplebet.io/" + API key (live fetch Apr 21, 2026). The embedded Simplebet HTML declares <title>Game Tracker</title> + Flutter app-ID "game_tracker". (2) Simplebet's own product page (simplebet.ai/products/gametracker): "our game tracker collapses to a minimized view so fans can still follow the action while placing their bets" = LITERAL '706 C4 HUD overlay behavior. (3) Three granted Simplebet patents self-admit the '161 architecture: US 12,293,263 B2 ("predicting future outcomes in a sporting match" — N1+N2 pre-cognizant CNN); US 11,451,842 B2 ("predicting a match state event…from live multimedia" — N3+N4); US 12,015,812 (continuation of '842 — same architecture, granted Jun 18, 2024).
★ 5-in-1 Help-Center Centerpiece
Robinhood · HOOD
robinhood.com/…/robinhood-event-contracts: (1) "$0.01–$0.99 cost" + "$1 or $0 payout" (E4). (2) "fractional contracts… up to 2 decimal points" (E5). (3) Timeline: "Trading hours · Event day · Contract resolves · Payout" ('706). (4) "Event notifications turned on by default" ('161 push). (5) "RFQ sent to the exchange" (E3 counterparty).
(1) RH CFO Verma, Feb 11, 2026 Q4: "Susquehanna owns 45% of the JV" — Reg-FD admission. (2) SIG SVP Pollard, Apr 3, 2024 Kalshi PR: "SIG is excited to support… providing liquidity." (3) Jeff Yass (SIG founder), Moontower Oct 31, 2025: "a great passion of ours for years." (4) Scale: Kalshi co-founder Lopes Lara Nov 2025 — internal MM "less than 6% of making volume" → SIG ≥94% of Kalshi MM.
★ § 271(b) Quadruple · Three-Patent Read
Sportradar · NASDAQ: SRAD
(1) AWS Soccer Goal Predictor (aws.amazon.com/blogs): "computer vision-based… predict future soccer goals 2 seconds in advance of the event" = LITERAL '161 N2 pre-cognizant. (2) Foresight basketball generative model: "trained on billions of 3D body pose data points… reads body positions in real time to predict what's likely to happen next" = '161 N1+N2 CNN. (3) 4Sight Streaming product page: "uses AI to overlay real-time stats and insights directly onto live video" = LITERAL '706 C4 HUD (100K+ events/yr served into DK/FD/ESPN/Caesars). (4) MLB Mar 19, 2026 PR: "Polymarket will also get access to Official League Data from Sportradar, MLB's exclusive global distributor of data for prediction markets" = $150-300M 3-yr exclusive gatekeeper. (5) Koerl CEO Q4 '25 earnings: "we have the ability to power this market end-to-end… monetize this opportunity" — SEC-filed FRE 801(d)(2)(D) specific-intent.
★ § 271(a) Direct · SOX-Certified
Webull · NASDAQ: BULL
(1) Vega product page (webull.com/vega): "real-time, personalized analysis and alerts based on each client's watchlists and portfolios" + "surfaces potential trades based on volume spikes or price anomalies" = LITERAL E2 profile + E3 filter-to-recommended-wager + E4 push-to-mobile. (2) 1.2M weekly active users + 10M+ queries/week (Stocktwits Q1 2026) = commercial-scale AI-recommender deployed. (3) FY2025 20-F (SOX §302/906 · Denier + Wang · Apr 9, 2026): "Event contracts, whether offered by Kalshi or others… resulted in litigation that we are party to" — SEC-sworn litigation admission forecloses Rule 12(b)(6) premature-infringement defense. (4) 162M prediction contracts in 2025 (81M in December alone); FY25 revenue $571M (+46%). (5) Denier Jan 27, 2026 Super Bowl $0-commission PR: "prices reflect probabilities" — CEO Markman-dispositive admission that event-contract prices encode odds.
★ Branding-Collision
Genius Sports · NYSE: GENI
(1) Q4 2025 earnings glossary (Mar 4, 2026): "Moment Engine: Genius Sports Limited's platform for embedding real-time sports data…." (2) CEO Locke on-call: "our moments engine now being externalized." (3) 20-F FY25: GeniusIQ "powered by an in-venue computer vision capture system." (4) BetVision Contextual Bet Prompts: "'Next Drive' markets presented during the fourth down" — LITERAL pre-cognizant push. (5) Genius's granted US 12,260,789 B2, Claim 1: "library of stored video sequences…semantic labels" — LITERAL '161 N1+N2. (6) Genius US 12,573,199 B2: "spatio-temporal index…indexes events at pixel locations" — '161 N2+N3+N4.
On-Chain Forensic
Polymarket · $20B+ val
Polymarket's CTF Exchange contract (0x4bFb41d5B3570DeFd03C39a9A4D8dE6Bd8B8982E · Polygon) emits verbatim: event OrderFilled(bytes32 orderHash, address maker, address taker, uint256 makerAssetId, uint256 takerAssetId, uint256 makerAmountFilled, uint256 takerAmountFilled, uint256 fee). Every field maps to '965 E5: orderHash = registry entry, maker+taker = fractional ownership pair, makerAssetId = specific outcome token. Under FRE 902(13), auto-admissible — source verified on Polygonscan.
Verbatim Claim-Language
Smarkets BoT Exchange
Smarkets Help Center hedging calculator (public · live today): "lock in a profit regardless of the result… irrespective of the result." Burillo's Nov 30, 2020 USPTO statement — legally binding on both sides: "irrespective of contemporaneous odds" (filed to distinguish Pennock US 7,788,158).
Every green square below is a document the defendant itself signed off on — 10-K filings, CFTC rulebooks, product UIs, even their own patent applications. Four asserted patents cover the full infringement surface. '965 (locked-odds recommendation) anchors at WagerWire's live product, which uses Burillo's exact 2020 USPTO language — locking claim construction for the whole cohort. '706 (HUD with P2P chat) is WagerWire-only direct — unique ACCEPT/COUNTER/REJECT chat is the sole architecture satisfying the Festo-bound chat-UI limitation; the other operators' broader infringement flows through '965 + '161. '161 (live-moment push) reaches the consumer-facing cohort across live betting and in-stream engagement. '966 (aftermarket pool-import) is unique to WagerWire's architecture.
Three § 271(b) gatekeepers sit behind the matrix and feed inducement directly into the 8-column operator cells above — Sportradar · Simplebet · CME Group. Webull (NASDAQ: BULL) is Robinhood's paired Wave-2 Kalshi-FCM direct-infringer on '965. Full per-defendant evidence at § 12 Rank 3/5/8 (ranked evidence cards) and § 3b (claim-element architecture footers).
Dashes in the matrix are product-line gaps, not evidence gaps.
| PATENT · CLAIM ELEMENT |
WagerWire
|
Kalshi
|
Polymarket
|
DraftKings
|
FanDuel
|
Robinhood
|
Genius
|
Fanatics
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
'965
Personalized Recommendation + Locked Odds
★ WagerWire leads
Others via platform suppliers
5 elements
|
||||||||
|
'965 E1
user profile
|
✓ ★ WW own App 17/938,040 Claim 1 · "ticket exchange system" |
✓ ★ Kalshi Rulebook + iOS "Product Personalization" |
✓ ★ on-chain wallet + tx history |
✓ ★ DK patent US 11,604,569 Claim 1 |
✓ ★ PredictsEmbeddedWebView chunk + How-to-Trade |
✓ ★ RH 10-K line 1808 · "agent facilitating" |
— B2B · § 271(b) |
✓ ★ CDNA Customer Account + iOS geolocation |
|
'965 E2
personalized filter
|
✓ ★ Dotan "signaling system" + sportsbook sync |
✓ ★ iOS "Product Personalization" + "For you" |
✓ category filter |
✓ ★ DK 10-K "customize home screen" |
✓ ★ Todisco + FD Ltd 19/410,345 "favorite teams" |
✓ ★ Cortex Digests · "analyzes holdings" |
— B2B · § 271(b) |
✓ ★ Sport pills + geolocation + trade-history profile |
|
'965 E3
recommendation
|
✓ ★ 40 live listings + Zendesk "Suggested Prices" |
✓ ★ Maker/Taker help + is_taker API |
✓ featured markets + /holders API |
✓ ★ DK 10-K + Simplebet ML PR |
✓ ★ US 12,307,861 GRANTED + Picks P2P sunset + ParlayHub API |
✓ ★ Custom Combos RFQ + Sportico |
✓ BetVision AI recommender |
✓ ★ Morton St. Market Maker affiliate ToU |
|
'965 E4 ★
locked odds
|
✓ ★★ GOLD · Calculator UI "Original"/"Current" |
✓ ★ Kalshi CFTC 13.1 (fractional lock) |
✓ ★ App Store "buy $0.67 · cash $1" |
✓ ★ Robins Q4 letter + trade-slip UI |
✓ ★ CME PR "$0.01–$0.99" + Predicts FAQ |
✓ ★ RH Help Center quintet (5 admissions) |
— B2B · § 271(b) |
✓ ★ CDNA Rulebook "Opening Trade Value" / "Closing Trade Value" |
|
'965 E5
fractional registry
|
✓ ★ WW own Claim 2 · "first ledger" |
✓ ★ CFTC 13.1 CRO + subaccount 0-32 API |
✓ ★ Poly on-chain CTF Exchange |
✓ ★ App Store "Replace__Trade__ASO" |
✓ ★ OBP (Order Book Plus) chunk + Cash Out |
✓ ★ Help Center fractional + 12B FY25 |
— B2B · § 271(b) |
✓ ★ CDNA Rule 5.4 Customer position account |
|
'966
Aftermarket Pool-Import
★ WagerWire only — unique architecture
6 elements
|
||||||||
|
'966 E1
aftermarket subscribers
|
✓ ★ WW own Claim 1 "third user" + GLI-33 |
— internal market · no pool-import |
— internal market · no pool-import |
— internal market · no pool-import |
— internal market · no pool-import |
— internal market · no pool-import |
— B2B · no consumer aftermarket |
— internal market · no pool-import |
|
'966 E2 ★
pool-import (non-subscriber)
|
✓ ★★ GOLD · FantasyWire DFS Pool 3/28/25 LITERAL |
— no non-subscriber pool-import |
— no non-subscriber pool-import |
— no non-subscriber pool-import |
— no non-subscriber pool-import |
— no non-subscriber pool-import |
— B2B · no pool-import |
— no non-subscriber pool-import |
|
'966 E3
non-subscriber data extract
|
✓ ★ RT Sports API + pricing engine |
— internal market · no pool-import |
— internal market · no pool-import |
— internal market · no pool-import |
— internal market · no pool-import |
— internal market · no pool-import |
— B2B · no consumer aftermarket |
— internal market · no pool-import |
|
'966 E4
registry write
|
✓ ★ WW own Claim 2 · "first ledger" |
— internal market · no pool-import |
— internal market · no pool-import |
— internal market · no pool-import |
— internal market · no pool-import |
— internal market · no pool-import |
— B2B · no consumer aftermarket |
— internal market · no pool-import |
|
'966 E5
publish for aftermarket
|
✓ ★ WW own Claim 1 · "posting sale offer" |
— internal market · no pool-import |
— internal market · no pool-import |
— internal market · no pool-import |
— internal market · no pool-import |
— internal market · no pool-import |
— B2B · no consumer aftermarket |
— internal market · no pool-import |
|
'966 E6
fractional acquisition
|
✓ ★ WW own Claim 2 · "updating first ledger" |
— internal market · no pool-import |
— internal market · no pool-import |
— internal market · no pool-import |
— internal market · no pool-import |
— internal market · no pool-import |
— B2B · no consumer aftermarket |
— internal market · no pool-import |
|
'706
Heads-Up Display Overlay for Online Wagering
★ WagerWire leads (chat UI)
Others via platform suppliers (HUD tech)
HUD + chat
|
||||||||
|
'706
HUD overlay
|
✓ ★★ GOLD · Sole direct · UNIQUE ACCEPT/COUNTER/REJECT P2P chat |
— Ideas = public forum · no P2P transactional chat |
— Comments public · no P2P transactional chat |
— No subscriber-to-subscriber chat (customer-support only) |
— No P2P chat · AceAI is AI-chat only |
— No chat UI architecture |
— B2B · no direct chat UI |
— No P2P chat (Squad Bets is group-selection, not chat) |
|
'161
Exciting-Moment Pre-Cognizant Push Notification
Direct hit · live-video operators
Genius supplies the AI
CNN + live video
|
||||||||
|
'161
CNN exciting-moment
|
— no live-video product |
— no live-video product |
✓ ★ DAZN stream "key moments" + LIVETRADE |
✓ ★ BetVision KB0010566 + Simplebet ML |
✓ ★ FD 19/410,345 verbatim CNN + Pulse "as action unfolds" |
— no live-video product |
✓ ★ 20-F GeniusIQ CNN + "Moment Engine" glossary |
✓ induced via BetVision (Genius) |
|
Coverage
|
3 / 4 '965 + '706 + '966 sole |
1 / 4 '965 direct · '706 fails chat UI |
2 / 4 direct '965 + '161 · '706 fails chat UI |
2 / 4 direct '965 + '161 · '706 fails chat UI |
2 / 4 direct '965 + '161 · '706 fails chat UI |
1 / 4 '965 direct · '706 fails chat UI |
1 / 4 direct '161 · § 271(b) '965 Sportradar-class |
2 / 4 direct '965 + '161 · '706 fails chat UI |
Twelve of the admissions referenced in § 12 shown in situ. Each is a primary public record (SEC filing, CFTC submission, public help-center article, live product UI, granted USPTO patent, CFTC-filed DCM rulebook, or compiled defendant code) — downloadable today from the URLs cited below each card. These are the exhibits behind the evidence narrative, not a substitute for them.
DK PREDICTIONS
Replace__Trade__ASO — DK marketing characterizes the product as "Trading" · apps.apple.com/…/draftkings-predictions
Patent cases are won or lost on venue — and Delaware concentrates the entire cohort in one court. 21 of 23 defendants can be sued there: 18 are Delaware-incorporated, and 3 are foreign companies that can be sued in any U.S. district. Only SIG (Pennsylvania) is a real transfer risk, and the defense brief is drafted. Delaware judges are career patent specialists: Connolly upholds 80% of patents against eligibility challenges, Andrews 60%. The 23 cases are filed individually and coordinated for pretrial purposes (including Markman) before one judge — separate trials per § 299. A single claim-construction (Markman) ruling at Month 15–18 sets the standard for every defendant. Industry data: 60% settle within 18 months of Markman; the campaign closes by Month 48.
Judge Connolly — patent-friendly, software-architecture fluent — rejects ~80% of motions to dismiss on § 101 patent-eligibility (Alice) grounds. Judge Andrews — ~60%. Judge Stark, now elevated to the Federal Circuit Court of Appeals, spent years on this bench building pro-plaintiff precedent we can cite on appeal. Mean time to trial: 26 months.
Delaware Local Patent Rule 3 sets a fixed calendar: initial infringement contentions due 45 days after the scheduling order; claim-construction exchange within 120 days; the Markman (claim-construction) ruling typically lands Month 12–15. Winning the "odds" construction that early unlocks settlement leverage across all 23 defendants at once.
All 23 at once: $210–380M potential, but ~80% risk of one bad ruling destroying the whole campaign. One defendant at a time: $95–220M, wide variance, years slower. Top 5 only, single filing: $85–150M — leaves money on the table. 4-wave cadence: $180–315M midpoint · ~70% success per wave — dominant by both expected return and risk profile.
Patent cases are usually won on legal fees, not legal merits — defendants with deeper pockets outlast plaintiffs and force cheap settlements (the "war of attrition" problem). Without mitigation, this campaign would face ~85% defendant-favorable odds. The 14 strategic de-risking moves below — 13 already drafted or strategically set — invert that math before counsel even walks in: 60% of defendants settle within 18 months of the Markman (claim-construction) hearing · ~20% yield a willful verdict with 3× damages · ~20% lose on patent-eligibility or patent-office challenge. Risk-weighted aggregate recovery: $271–872M (per § 6); plaintiff net at 60% waterfall share: $163–523M. The engagement-letter and pre-file action checklist lives on § 18.
Recovery here isn't a single jury swing — it's a cascade that compounds at the claim-construction ruling. Once the Delaware judge fixes the meaning of the patent language at Month 15–18, the cleanest-read defendants settle to avoid being bound by a loss, and every later wave negotiates against that same precedent. The bulk of the cohort resolves by Month 30; the tail closes through Month 48. The bar chart sizes the dollar outcomes across the eight defendants that anchor the damages base; the curve shows the cadence at which the full 23-defendant cohort resolves.
A day-by-day walkthrough of what actually happens when our notice letter lands — this same pressure sequence is mapped for every one of the 23 defendants, not just theorized. DraftKings is the example here: Wave-1a target · $4.77B FY24 revenue · NASDAQ: DKNG · three of the four asserted patents read on DraftKings' product, and its own Feb 13 2026 shareholder letter already admits the infringing architecture — so every day of silence compounds into an SEC-disclosable material contingency.
Six weeks to fully-executed engagement letter · 120 days to Wave-1a filing · nothing goes un-owned. Multiple independent clocks converge inside the next 180 days.
The window is the best it's going to be.
Prepared by Patented.ai
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